Pronóstico: 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket has this exact-score contract at **0% YES** and **$0.00 volume** so far, which usually means the order book is either empty or effectively unpriced rather than that the scoreline is impossible.[15] On Polymarket, traders are buying and selling conditional tokens settled in **USDC** on **Polygon**, so the market only pays out if the final score matches one of the listed outcomes; anything else falls into **Any Other Score** under the contract rules.[15]

For context, this is a low-profile summer friendly between clubs that can rotate heavily, which makes exact-score markets especially fragile. Köln’s recent friendlies include a 2-2 draw with Hertha and a 5-0 win, while Real Sociedad’s recent pre-season results have mixed wins, draws and a 2-1 loss to Toulouse, suggesting neither side has a clean, stable scoring pattern to anchor a single scoreline.[1][5] UEFA’s historical head-to-head between the clubs is sparse and split, with one win each and one draw across their past meetings, so there is little deep fixture history to lean on for an exact score read-through.[14]

What matters most for traders now is whether the fixture is played as scheduled, and whether either club announces a much stronger or much weaker XI than expected. Friendlies are often altered by late squad management, injury handling and travel logistics, and the match listings currently seen across live-score sites indicate the game is being tracked for 8 August 2026 rather than as a settled competitive fixture.[1][2][3] In practice, any late change to venue, timing, or format matters less for the venue itself than for whether the match produces the sort of open, rotated, high-variance scoreline that exact-score contracts live or die on.[15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.