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Pronóstico: FC København vs. Debreceni VSC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: FC København vs. Debreceni VSC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Team to Advance 100% O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% FC København O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $686K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: FC København vs. Debreceni VSC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team to Advance100%
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC København O/U 0.5100%
FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.587%
FC København O/U 1.582%
FC København (-1.5)68%
O/U 2.559%
2nd Half O/U 0.551%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
2nd Half O/U 2.551%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Debreceni VSC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Debreceni VSC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC København O/U 2.548%
FC København (-2.5)39%
Debreceni VSC O/U 0.534%
O/U 3.532%
Both Teams to Score32%
Debreceni VSC O/U 2.524%
O/U 4.513%
Debreceni VSC O/U 1.56%
O/U 5.55%
Debreceni VSC (-1.5)1%
Debreceni VSC (-2.5)1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC København 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Debreceni VSC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Debreceni VSC 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC København travels to Hungary to face Debreceni VSC in a UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying round match on 12 August 2026. The fixture is a two-legged tie, with this encounter forming the first leg. Polymarket's conditional token structure prices this "More Markets" contract at 100% implied probability, meaning traders are pricing near-certainty that additional betting markets will be offered for this specific fixture. On-chain settlement depends on whether secondary markets—such as correct score, both teams to score, or player performance props—materialise on the platform before the 16:00 UTC deadline on match day.

Historical precedent suggests that Europa Conference League qualifying matches typically attract supplementary market listings, particularly when involving established European clubs. København, a Danish Super Liga side with consistent European participation, has featured in multiple Polymarket secondary offerings during prior continental campaigns. Debreceni, Hungary's most decorated club, similarly generates sufficient trading interest to justify expanded market coverage. The 100% probability reflects the platform's track record: qualifying-round fixtures between clubs of this profile have reliably spawned additional markets within the settlement window.

Traders should monitor Polymarket's official announcements and the UEFA fixture calendar for any postponements or scheduling changes. The match's 12:00 PM ET kickoff is fixed, but regulatory or logistical delays occasionally compress the window between final whistle and market settlement. Additionally, the conditional token mechanics mean this contract resolves independently of the match outcome—only the existence of supplementary markets matters for settlement purposes.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: FC København vs. Debreceni VSC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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