Pronóstico: The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Manchester Super Giants have beaten MI London Women in the completed match at the Kia Oval, so the Polymarket contract should now be treated as an on-chain **Yes** rather than the current 0% crowd price suggests. On Polymarket, traders hold USDC on Polygon and the market settles through conditional tokens against the official result, with ESPNcricinfo named in the contract terms as the resolving source.[1][19]

That 0% print is best read as an outlier or stale price against the live cricket state, not as a fair estimate of the fixture. Manchester Super Giants also came into this match with stronger recent form: ESPN’s competition table showed them near the top on 10 points and a strong net run-rate, while MI London were winless after four matches and down at the foot of the standings.[7][13] The comparable head-to-head from 2025 already pointed the same way, with Manchester Super Giants winning by six wickets in London after chasing 138, which is the kind of prior that tends to anchor trader expectations in a short-format league.[13]

For a trader, the main catalysts were the published teams, toss, and any live scorecard update from the match window, because The Hundred’s short format leaves little room for late repricing once a chase is under way.[2][3] BBC and ESPN both reported Manchester Super Giants winning the toss and fielding first, and the live report then confirmed they completed the chase for 95 for 4 against MI London’s 92, which is the decisive input for settlement under Polymarket’s rules.[1][3][19]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.