Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 56% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 49% |
| Map 2 Winner | 42% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5) | 42% |
| Match Winner | 39% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5) | 39% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5) | 34% |
| Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) | 32% |
Market context
Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 56%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FaZe and BetBoom Team in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →