Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 95% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 91% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 9% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 9% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5) | 9% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-12.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: largadosypelados vs bestia academy (bo3) - cct south america series 3 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between largadosypelados and BESTIA Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 7 at 12:00PM ET. This m…
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BEST… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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