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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 91% Match Winner 84% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $944K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Match Winner84%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)80%
Map 2 Winner68%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games31%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: counter-strike: legacy vs mibr (bo3) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Legacy and MIBR in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00 A…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - E… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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