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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) 100% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $677K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-9.5) vs Passion Academy (+9.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-12.5) vs LPH Gaming (+12.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: counter-strike: lph gaming vs passion academy (bo3) - united21 group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between LPH Gaming and Passion Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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