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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $438K Liquidity: $514K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)47%
Map 2 Winner45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)38%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)32%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)27%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)20%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: m80 vs nip (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between M80 and NIP in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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