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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5) 91% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5) 91% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)91%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-9.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: mouz nxt vs the last resort (bo3) - cct europe series #8 group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MOUZ NXT and The Last Resort in the CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs The Last Res… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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