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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 80% Map 2 Winner 77% Map 1 Winner 70% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) 57% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $649K Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Map 2 Winner77%
Map 1 Winner70%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)57%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)56%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
O/U 2.5 Games38%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: natus vincere vs m80 (bo3) - blast open porto group a. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Natus Vincere and M80 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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