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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 61% Map 2 Winner 60% Map 1 Winner 59% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $197K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner61%
Map 2 Winner60%
Map 1 Winner59%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)36%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)27%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 61% YES probability for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NIP and Heroic in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - St… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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