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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% O/U 2.5 Games 47% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $189K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 1 Winner43%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)43%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)42%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)37%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)37%
Map 2 Winner36%
Match Winner36%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: liquid vs g2 (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Liquid and G2 in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 25 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if L…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLA… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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