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Pronóstico: Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

FC København (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $584K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC København (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5100%
FC København O/U 0.5100%
FC København O/U 1.5100%
FC København O/U 2.5100%
Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC København 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Silkeborg IF O/U 1.51%
Silkeborg IF O/U 2.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 0.51%
Silkeborg IF (-1.5)0%
Silkeborg IF (-2.5)0%
FC København (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Silkeborg IF and FC København are due to meet in the Danish Superliga at JYSK Park, and Polymarket is currently pricing the “More Markets” contract at **0% YES**, which leaves only a tiny residual path for a settlement before the window closes at 16:00 UTC. On Polymarket, that means users holding USDC on Polygon are effectively paying for conditional tokens that currently imply no qualifying outcome is expected to be resolved in time.

For context, the fixture itself is not especially close on recent evidence. FC København have dominated the head-to-head across the past year, including a **7-0** home win in April 2026 and a **4-0** away win at JYSK Park, while earlier meetings also produced a **3-3** draw and a **3-1** Silkeborg upset. That split is useful for reading a 0% market: it does not mean the game is impossible to matter, but it does mean the contract needs an exact qualifying “more markets” settlement event rather than a generic match result, so the pricing reflects a narrow event definition rather than simple team strength. [5][8][9][16]

The main catalysts to watch are the match start, the prompt publication of line-ups, and any clarification from the market’s own settlement criteria if a sub-market is tied to goals, cards, corners or another in-play stat. Final pricing can change only if the underlying event occurs before the settlement cut-off and the oracleable result is available in time, so traders are really monitoring the dependency chain: official kick-off, live data feed, and whether the relevant stat is documented before the window closes. Recent preview material still points to København as the stronger side, which is consistent with a market already at the floor, but the practical question on-chain is whether the required condition is ever recorded and resolved, not who wins the match outright. [11][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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