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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 88% Game 2 Winner 75% Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Team Bored (+1.5) 74% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $37K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner88%
Game 2 Winner75%
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Team Bored (+1.5)74%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
O/U 2.5 Games27%
Any Player Rampage26%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Nemesis and Team Bored in the BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:15 A…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Bored (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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