Pronóstico: York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

York City’s cup tie with Crawley Town is being priced on Polymarket at **0% YES** for the “More Markets” contract, which leaves the market effectively saying the current condition for settlement is not being met. On Polymarket, that means the contract is trading against an on-chain outcome on **Polygon**, with positions backed by **USDC** and resolved through conditional tokens rather than a traditional bookmaker line; in practice, the price reflects how users are marking up the chance that any of the listed sub-markets finish in the required state by the settlement window on 3 August 2026.

For context, York and Crawley do not have a long, one-sided recent record to lean on. Public head-to-head data shows a compact sample with drawn games and narrow margins, including a 2-2 meeting in March 2016 and a 1-0 Crawley win in October 2015, while broader H2H summaries point to a balanced series across older fixtures.[6][12][10] That kind of profile usually matters more in “more markets” style contracts than a simple win/lose bet, because traders are effectively reading whether the cup game produces the specific event cluster the market is tied to, not just which side advances.[4][5]

The key catalysts are the final team sheets, any late injury or rotation news, and the live match state once the tie kicks off, because those determine whether the relevant conditional tokens resolve the way traders expect. BBC Sport’s live coverage notes both the fixture and the surrounding cup context, while recent form lines on the same feed show York coming in after a heavy friendly defeat to Sunderland and Crawley after a 0-0 with Salford, which may shape how users price tempo, chances and volatility before kick-off.[7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.