Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 96% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 0.5 | 89% |
| O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 76% |
| Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Nottingham Forest FC O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Liverpool FC (-1.5) | 41% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 29% |
| Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Liverpool FC (-2.5) | 21% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 21% |
| O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 7% |
| Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | 5% |
| Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5) | 1% |
Market context
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 41% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-29T11:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC - … on Polymarket Qué Es
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