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Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 91% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 88% Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots 76% Rayan: 1+ shots 70% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots91%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots88%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots76%
Rayan: 1+ shots70%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots69%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots62%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots60%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots56%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists54%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots54%
Endrick: 1+ shots54%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots53%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots53%
Casemiro: 1+ shots52%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots51%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots50%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target49%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target49%
Alisson: 4+ saves49%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists49%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target49%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target49%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target49%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists49%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target49%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target49%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target48%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target48%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target48%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists48%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists48%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target48%
Alisson: 2+ saves48%
Alisson: 5+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves48%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists48%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target48%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target48%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target48%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target48%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target47%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target47%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves47%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists47%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target47%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists46%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists46%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots46%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots46%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists46%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists46%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists45%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target42%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists41%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals39%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target39%
Endrick: 2+ shots39%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists36%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists35%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists35%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots35%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots33%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target33%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists32%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists32%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists32%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots30%
Rayan: 2+ shots30%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals30%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists30%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target29%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists29%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists29%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots29%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots28%
Alisson: 3+ saves28%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots27%
Endrick: 3+ shots27%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots27%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots26%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists25%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists25%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots25%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists25%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists24%
Rayan: 3+ shots23%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists23%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots22%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists21%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists21%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots21%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots21%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists21%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target20%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target20%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target20%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots20%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots20%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists20%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals19%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots19%
Endrick: 4+ shots18%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots18%
Rayan: 1+ goals18%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists17%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots17%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists17%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots16%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists16%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists16%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots16%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists15%
Rayan: 4+ shots14%
Casemiro: 2+ shots14%
Endrick: 1+ goals14%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists14%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target14%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists14%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target14%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists13%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target13%
Endrick: 5+ shots13%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots13%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals13%
Rayan: 3+ goals12%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots12%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists12%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots12%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals12%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots12%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target11%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots11%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots11%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Rayan: 1+ assists10%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots10%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals10%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals10%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals10%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals10%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals10%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists10%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists10%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots10%
Rayan: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals9%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists9%
Rayan: 2+ assists9%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots9%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals9%
Casemiro: 1+ goals8%
Casemiro: 1+ assists8%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals8%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots8%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots8%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target7%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists7%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals6%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists6%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals6%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals6%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals6%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists5%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists5%
Endrick: 2+ goals5%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists5%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists4%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals3%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists3%
Casemiro: 2+ assists3%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists3%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists3%
Rayan: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists2%
Endrick: 3+ goals2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals2%
Raphinha: 3+ goals2%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals1%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals1%
Casemiro: 2+ goals1%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals1%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 1+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: brazil vs. japan - player props stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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