Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Côte d'Ivoire and Norway face off tomorrow in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Dallas Stadium, a high-stakes knockout where only the 90-minute result counts. On Polymarket, this exact-score contract trades at a 7% implied probability for the listed outcome, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens. The market remains open until the match concludes, with settlement locked at 17:00 UTC on 30 June 2026.

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup knockouts rarely hit above 5–8% unless one side is a dominant favourite, mirroring cases like Ivory Coast’s 3–0 win over Kenya in 2006. Norway’s recent 4–1 loss to France in 2026 exposed defensive frailties, while Ivory Coast have opened the scoring in all three 2026 World Cup matches, suggesting a tight but likely low-scoring affair [1][9].

Traders should monitor final lineups announced by 12:00 ET tomorrow and any late injury updates from both squads, as Norway’s midfield depth is critical to containing Ivory Coast’s attack. Sky Sports confirms the match is set for 18:00 BST (13:00 ET) at Dallas Stadium, with no postponement expected [2]. Any shift in betting odds on major platforms like ESPN could signal on-field dependencies before kickoff [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.