Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
77% | 23% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
77% | 23% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 77% Over | 23% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 22% Over | 79% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 16% Over | 85% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 85% Over | 15% Under |
| England Corners: O/U 5.5 | 73% Over | 28% Under |
| Panama Corners: O/U 1.5 | 72% Over | 28% Under |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup match between Panama and England kicks off at 5:00 PM ET on 27 June, with the crowd-implied probability for the "Total Corners" market sitting at 77% YES on Polymarket. This contract, settled in USDC on the Polygon network via conditional tokens, currently prices the outcome as highly likely, reflecting strong on-chain conviction rather than abstract speculation.
Historical data frames this probability with notable weight: England have accumulated nine and eight corners in their two group matches, totalling 17 corners at this tournament, while Panama’s last seven official matches saw total corners under 10.5 land in six of them[1][2]. Despite Panama’s defensive tendency, England’s aggressive wing play and high shot volume suggest a corner count that could breach typical thresholds, aligning with the 77% market pricing[4].
Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements for Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane, whose recent hat-trick performance against Panama indicates sustained attacking dominance[5][6]. Any late tactical shifts favouring a 2-0 England win, as predicted by experts, would likely increase corner frequency through sustained pressure and wide deliveries[3]. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 27 June, making real-time updates critical for on-chain positioning.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Panama vs. England - Total Corners on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →