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Pronóstico: FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 47% FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 12% FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 9% FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 8% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
47% 53% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
47% 53% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score47%
FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%
FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid8%
FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid7%
FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5%
FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3%
FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3%
FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2%
FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: fc barcelona vs. rayo vallecano de madrid - exact score stands at 47% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of th…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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