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Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Charlotte FC 49% Draw 26% Atlas FC 26% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $143K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Charlotte FC49%
Draw26%
Atlas FC26%

Market context

Charlotte FC vs Atlas FC is priced at **49% YES** on Polymarket, so the market is sitting close to a coin-flip rather than leaning hard either way, with the conditional token implying only a slight edge to the event resolving in the affirmative. For a Polymarket user, that matters because the contract settles in **USDC on Polygon**, so the price is mainly a live read on how participants are weighing match-specific information, not a sportsbook line in disguise.

The comparable frame is a first-ever competitive meeting: LeaguesCup.com says this is the **1st matchup** between Charlotte and Atlas, which means there is no direct head-to-head history to anchor priors.[8] Recent form points in opposite directions but not decisively so: Charlotte beat Pumas 3-0 on 5 August after a 2-1 loss at Chicago and a 2-0 win at New York Red Bulls, while Atlas lost 3-1 at Columbus Crew on 5 August after a 0-2 home defeat to Monterrey and a 1-0 win at Santos Laguna.[1][6] That kind of mixed run is consistent with a market hovering near even, rather than pricing in a clear favourite.[1][8]

The main catalysts before settlement are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any change to the scheduled kick-off, since the market window closes at 23:30 UTC on 7 August.[2][6] LeaguesCup.com notes Charlotte’s broader Leagues Cup record is stronger than Atlas’s, at 7-4 versus 3-7, and also says Atlas has scored in every Leagues Cup match in its history, which gives traders a concrete attacking angle to watch as team news lands.[8] Any late shifts in goalkeeper selection, travel fatigue, or competition context are likely to be reflected quickly in the order book.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Charlotte FC at 49% for "Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC".

Charlotte FC 49% Other 51%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $81K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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