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Pronóstico: San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

San Diego FC 1 - 0 Club Tijuana 100% San Diego FC 0 - 0 Club Tijuana 0% San Diego FC 0 - 1 Club Tijuana 0% San Diego FC 0 - 2 Club Tijuana 0% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $272K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego FC 1 - 0 Club Tijuana100%
San Diego FC 0 - 0 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 0 - 1 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 0 - 2 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 1 - 1 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 2 - 0 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 0 - 3 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 1 - 2 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 2 - 1 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 3 - 0 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 1 - 3 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 2 - 2 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 3 - 1 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 2 - 3 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 3 - 2 Club Tijuana0%
San Diego FC 3 - 3 Club Tijuana0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this exact-score contract at **0% YES**, which means the order book is effectively assigning no weight to any listed full-time scoreline for San Diego FC against Club Tijuana. Because the market settles on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, not extra time or penalties, traders are really expressing a view on the regulation-time result that would be recorded on the Polygon-based conditional token if the listed outcome lands.

That zero price is more understandable when set against the limited but relevant head-to-head record. San Diego beat Tijuana 1-0 in a recent cross-border meeting, and another meeting finished 4-2 to San Diego in September 2025, both of which were open, multi-goal games rather than tight one-goal stalemates.[6][16] Recent form also points to variance: San Diego’s latest Leagues Cup match was a 3-1 loss to Club América, while Tijuana lost 2-0 to Austin FC in the same competition, after a run in which both sides had mixed scoring profiles.[12][10] For an exact-score market, that kind of spread across plausible scorelines can suppress conviction in any single listed result.

The main catalysts are procedural rather than tactical: confirm the match is played as scheduled, because postponement keeps the market open until completion, while cancellation triggers the market’s fallback rules in the contract description. For a Polymarket user, the practical watchlist is the official fixture status, line-ups, and any Leagues Cup scheduling change that could affect whether the game is settled in 90 minutes or pushed into later stages. Live score services already list the fixture and, in some feeds, show it completed, which is the kind of update that can move conditional token pricing quickly once the final regulation score is official.[1][9][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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