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Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $38K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Match Winner51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Game 2 Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 1 Winner47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
O/U 2.5 Games28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to pronóstico: lol: hanjin brion vs dn soopers (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRI…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - … on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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