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Pronóstico: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5) 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51% First Blood in Game 2? 51% Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) 50% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $670K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Game 4 Winner38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Game 3 Winner30%
O/U 3.5 Games30%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
Match Winner2%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: lol: detonation focusme vs ground zero gaming (bo5) - lcp group stage stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Tiebreaker match between DetonatioN FocusMe and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15 at 5:00AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Pronóstico: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero G… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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