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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Odd/Even Total Kills 50% Match Winner 42% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 38% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $275K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Match Winner42%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 61% probability to pronóstico: lol: g2 esports vs ag.al (bo1) - esports world cup group a. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and AG.AL in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 16 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Es…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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