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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 80% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 65% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $158K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to pronóstico: lol: g2 esports vs fnatic (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Re… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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