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Pronóstico: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 74% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 74% Match Winner 67% Game 1 Winner 62% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $609K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon74%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon74%
Match Winner67%
Game 1 Winner62%
Game 2 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)39%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: lol: hanwha life esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group stands at 74% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 6:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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