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Pronóstico: LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 55% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $603K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
Match Winner45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)31%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for Pronóstico: LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming …

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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