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Pronóstico: LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Live odds for "Pronóstico: LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 96% Game 2 Winner 91% Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 91% Volume: $276K Liquidity: $801K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner96%
Game 2 Winner91%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)91%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?76%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?25%
O/U 2.5 Games9%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)1%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Ga…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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