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Pronóstico: LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 99% Odd/Even Total Kills 99% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 1% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 1% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $159K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon99%
Odd/Even Total Kills99%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 99% chance of pronóstico: lol: rmd gaming vs vivo keyd stars academy (bo1) - circuito desafiante regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between RMD Gaming and Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 22 at 6:00PM ET. This ma…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Pronóstico: LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Acade… on Polymarket Qué Es

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