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Pronóstico: LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Odd/Even Total Kills 50% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 28% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 27% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $123K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 65% probability to pronóstico: lol: sentinels vs gen.g (bo1) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Sentinels and Gen.G in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentin…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports … on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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