Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Detroit at **56%** to win this contract, so the market is only a modest favourite rather than a strong lean. For a user holding the YES side on Polygon, the trade is settled in USDC through conditional tokens, so the live price is less about the headline matchup and more about whether Detroit’s edge survives the final innings and any late scheduling disruption.

The read-through from recent comparable games is straightforward: Detroit has handled this opponent well enough to justify a small premium, winning the last four meetings in the supplied results, including 6-1, 6-2, 4-1 and 6-1 margins. That form sits alongside a better recent team profile, with ESPN listing the Tigers at 5-5 over their last 10 and the Athletics at 3-7, while the latest direct preview shows Detroit favoured by the moneyline at -162 versus Oakland at +133. In market terms, the current 56% implies traders are slightly discounting the Tigers’ edge, but not enough to price out an upset.

The main catalysts are the announced line-ups, the starting pitchers, and any late change to the game being played as scheduled. ESPN’s pregame page lists the matchup for 31 July with a 9:40 p.m. ET start and a total of 10.5 runs, which means the contract can move sharply if a confirmed starter changes or if weather pushes the game into a postponement window. If the game is suspended, postponed, or otherwise delayed until completion, the market remains open until the official final result is posted; if it is cancelled outright or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50 under the market rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.