Pronóstico: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

Market context

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers is a live MLB moneyline contract on Polymarket, priced today at **16% YES** for the Royals, with settlement determined by the official final game result and paid in **USDC** through Polygon conditional tokens. In practical terms, the market is saying Kansas City is still a clear underdog against Detroit, even before you factor in how quickly pre-game news can move a thin baseball market.

That price sits in line with recent head-to-head context. On 25 July, Kansas City beat Detroit 3-2 after Nick Loftin’s ninth-inning home run, but the earlier pricing for a Royals-Tigers meeting still showed Detroit as a strong favourite, with one listed moneyline at **-198** and Kansas City at **+166**[1][2]. That kind of split between one-off results and the broader series outlook is exactly what prediction-market traders usually have to separate: a single upset does not reset the underlying team strength implied by the order book.

For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, any late pitching change, and whether the scheduled first pitch is delayed, suspended, or completed as listed. The market rules matter here because a postponement keeps the contract open until the game is finished, while a cancellation with no make-up, or a tie, resolves **50-50** rather than to either side. If you are tracking the contract on-chain, those updates are the ones most likely to shift the implied probability before settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.