Pronóstico: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies secured a 2-1 victory over the New York Mets in their June 26 matchup at Citi Field, with Zack Wheeler delivering a dominant pitching performance and Derek Hill robbing Juan Soto of a crucial two-run homer[2][7]. This result confirms the market’s current 100% YES pricing for the Phillies, as the game has already concluded and the outcome is settled on the official final statistics[2].

Historically, prediction markets on completed MLB games that resolve to a single winner with no tie or postponement have consistently settled at 100% for the winning side once the final score is confirmed by the league[2][4]. Similar cases, such as the Phillies’ narrow wins in late May 2026, saw conditional tokens on Polygon instantly redeemable for USDC once the final box score was published, reflecting the on-chain mechanics of USDC-backed conditional tokens[2][4].

Traders should monitor any post-game announcements regarding player injuries or managerial changes, as the Mets fired their manager immediately after this loss, a move that could influence future lineups and betting dynamics[2]. While the game is settled, upcoming roster updates—such as those from the MLB’s official injury reports—may affect related markets for the next Phillies-Mets series, with the next scheduled meeting not occurring until July 2026[2][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.