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Pronóstico: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% O/U 4.5 60% O/U 8.5 51% Volume: $407K Liquidity: $128K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
O/U 4.560%
O/U 8.551%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 7.550%
O/U 10.547%
Spread -1.538%
O/U 5.537%
O/U 6.526%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves19%
Spread -1.516%
O/U 9.56%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: st. louis cardinals vs. atlanta braves stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 1 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Pronóstico: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $407K.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports