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Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $175K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5100%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.5100%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)0%
Charlotte FC (-1.5)0%
Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)0%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.50%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.50%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.50%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Chicago Fire FC against Charlotte FC is priced at **0% YES** on Polymarket today, so the contract is trading as if the market assigns no meaningful chance that the “more markets” settlement condition will be met before the window closes. On Polymarket, that means USDC is parked into a conditional token on Polygon, and the payoff still depends entirely on how the relevant match market is resolved rather than on the football result in isolation.

The historical frame is not a one-sided clean sheet story. Recent meetings have been lively: Chicago beat Charlotte 3-2 in June 2025, 4-1 in May 2025, and the pair produced a 4-3 Charlotte win in October 2024, while earlier games swung both ways.[2][13][18] Head-to-head databases also point to goals being common, with multiple recent samples showing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in a majority of these fixtures.[4][5][16] For a Polymarket user, that matters because a 0% quote usually reflects either a very specific settlement definition or a belief that the needed “more markets” trigger is already effectively priced out, not merely a view that the match will be low scoring.

The main catalysts are the matchday feed itself and any late lineup or scheduling information that could alter the underlying market state before settlement. Chicago’s club preview confirms the fixture and notes the teams arrived close in the table, with Chicago on 26 points and Charlotte on 25 at the time of the preview.[8] Traders watching the contract should follow the official match centre and live score sources closely, because any change in how the league or market feed records the event is what ultimately moves a conditional-token settlement, not the pre-match narrative.[1][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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