Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Charlotte FC hosts D.C. United in an MLS Eastern Conference match at Bank of America Stadium, with the game set for 7:30 p.m. ET on 22 August. Polymarket currently prices the “more markets” contract at 26% YES, so the market is treating this as a meaningful but not dominant chance that one of the linked sub-markets resolves in the affirmative.

For a Polymarket user, that price sits in the range where recent form and a single late swing can matter more than any abstract season model. Comparable pricing around this fixture has leaned towards a Charlotte edge, with one preview noting Charlotte’s stronger home standing and D.C. United’s mid-table profile, while another market line had Charlotte favoured and the total set at 2.5 goals. On Polymarket, the contract is settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, so the live order book can move quickly if the underlying match context changes.

The main catalysts are roster and matchday updates: confirmed line-ups, late injury news, and any shift in the club’s availability report before kick-off. D.C. United’s own preview framed this as its 21st league match of 2026, and line-up information is typically finalised only about an hour before start, which can be enough to reprice a low-20s probability market. The settlement window ending immediately after the match leaves little time for post-kickoff ambiguity, so traders will usually watch the final team sheets, substitution patterns and any schedule or broadcast changes closely.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.