Pronóstico: FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Cincinnati hosts New York City FC on 19 August at 7:30 PM ET in a Major League Soccer fixture. The market currently shows 0% implied probability on Polymarket, suggesting traders are pricing zero likelihood of additional markets materialising for this specific match. Settlement occurs at 23:30 UTC on the same date, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for conditional token resolution. The contract trades on Polygon via USDC, with settlement dependent on whether supplementary betting markets appear on the platform before the window closes.

Historical precedent matters here. Polymarket has inconsistently offered "More Markets" contracts for MLS fixtures, with some mid-season regular-season matches receiving expanded market suites whilst others remain limited to standard outcome and spread contracts. Cincinnati's home fixtures have occasionally triggered additional markets—prop bets on corner counts, card totals, or player performance metrics—but this remains sporadic rather than systematic. The 0% pricing reflects either genuine scarcity of such expansions or traders' assessment that this particular fixture lacks sufficient liquidity interest to justify Polymarket's operational overhead.

Catalysts for movement centre on Polymarket's internal scheduling and market-creation decisions, which typically occur 24–48 hours before kickoff. NYCFC's recent form and injury reports could influence whether the platform deems this matchup worthy of expanded coverage; similarly, any late-breaking roster changes or weather concerns affecting the fixture might prompt additional prop markets. Traders should monitor Polymarket's official announcements and the platform's market-creation activity on 17–18 August, as the settlement window's tight post-match closure leaves minimal room for reactive market additions.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.