Pronóstico: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 clash on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio Los Chankas, confirming the 100% YES probability priced on Polymarket today. The match, part of the Clausura stage, saw Jardlén Quintero score the decisive goal in the 13th minute, securing a narrow home victory for the second-placed Los Chankas [2][3][5].

Historically, this outcome aligns with bookmaker expectations that favoured Los Chankas with -104 odds, implying a 51% win probability, while Sport Boys were assigned only a 29% chance at +290 [4]. Previous encounters in the Descentralizado tournament also saw Los Chankas win 1–0 at home, reinforcing a pattern of tight, home-dominant results against Sport Boys in this fixture [3].

Traders should monitor official Liga 1 match reports and post-game disciplinary announcements, as any late VAR reviews or player suspensions could affect conditional token settlements on Polygon. The USDC-denominated contract resolves automatically once the final score is confirmed on-chain, with no further human intervention required [1]. With the settlement window closing at 16:00 UTC on 19 July, the outcome is now fully settled and irreversible.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.