Pronóstico: St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

St Johnstone and Kilmarnock are due to meet in the Scottish Premiership, and Polymarket is currently pricing this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES**, meaning the crowd assigns no value today to the specified condition being hit by settlement. Because the market is cash-settled in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, traders are reading the contract itself rather than betting on the match outcome in the abstract.

That 0% print sits against a matchup with a long, fairly even head-to-head history. FootyStats lists 38 prior meetings, with St Johnstone winning 19, Kilmarnock 14, and five draws, while ESPN’s recent results show the sides have traded wins in the last few league meetings, including Kilmarnock’s 3-1 home win in February 2025 and St Johnstone’s 1-0 win in November 2024.[1][15] That backdrop matters less for outright football prediction than for reading how thin the edge is on secondary markets such as cards, corners, player props, or score-state derivatives, where a single lineup choice can flip pricing quickly.[2][13]

The main catalysts are team news, confirmed line-ups, and any late schedule or competition updates before the 13:00 UTC settlement cut-off. Sky Sports’ recent data shows a low-event pattern in the pairing, with modest shot volumes and only two clear-cut chances in the referenced match stats, so traders will watch whether either side names a more aggressive XI than recent league or cup line-ups suggest.[2][10] For a Polymarket user, the practical trigger is simple: if pre-match announcements change the expected game script, the conditional token can reprice fast even when the underlying fixture looks familiar on paper.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.