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Pronóstico: FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 94% FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5 86% O/U 1.5 77% 1st Half O/U 0.5 71% Volume: $755K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.586%
O/U 1.577%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
2nd Half O/U 0.564%
SSC Napoli O/U 0.560%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.556%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 0.556%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 0.556%
O/U 2.553%
Both Teams to Score53%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 1.548%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half (-2.5)47%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.544%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 1.538%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)34%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 0.533%
O/U 3.531%
2nd Half O/U 2.531%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.529%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
SSC Napoli O/U 1.523%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.523%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 1.519%
FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)16%
O/U 4.514%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half (-1.5)14%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
SSC Napoli 1st Half (-2.5)10%
O/U 5.57%
SSC Napoli O/U 2.57%
SSC Napoli (-1.5)5%
SSC Napoli 1st Half (-1.5)2%
SSC Napoli (-2.5)1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Pronóstico: FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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