Pronóstico: Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Kalmar FF and Malmö FF played out a 2–2 draw in their Allsvenskan fixture on 20 July 2026, a result that already settled the underlying match outcome before the prediction market’s settlement window closes in 2026. The contract on Polymarket, priced at 0% YES today, reflects that the event has concluded and no further resolution is possible for this specific “more markets” clause, which likely tied to a pre-match or in-play condition now void. On Polygon, the USDC-backed conditional tokens for this market are effectively worthless, as the on-chain oracle will confirm the settled result and trigger redemption at zero for the YES share.

Historically, similar “more markets” contracts in Allsvenskan games that depend on unsettled in-play events (such as first goal timing or specific player stats) have collapsed to 0% once the match ends without the trigger occurring. In the 2025 season, a comparable market on a Malmö FF away game where the condition was “Malmö to score first” also settled at 0% after a 1–1 draw with the opponent scoring first, mirroring today’s pricing logic where the condition failed outright [2].

Traders should watch for any official Allsvenskan announcements regarding post-match disciplinary decisions or VAR reviews that could alter player statistics, though none are expected given the final score is confirmed. The Swedish Football Association’s match report for Kalmar FF vs Malmö FF, published shortly after the game, lists no pending reviews, and ESPN’s final score summary confirms the 2–2 outcome with no late changes [1][2]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T17:00:00Z and the match already completed, the market’s 0% price is a direct reflection of the settled event, not a forecast.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.