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Pronóstico: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 69% O/U 3.5 Games 69% Map 1 Winner 64% Map 3 Winner 63% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $359K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner69%
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Map 1 Winner64%
Map 3 Winner63%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Winner60%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 4 Winner55%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)51%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)51%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)49%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)45%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.536%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: valorant: 100 thieves vs loud (bo5) - vct americas stage 2 playoffs stands at 69% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between 100 Thieves and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Th…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VC… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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