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Pronóstico: Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $321K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Match Winner21%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: valorant: furia esports vs g2 esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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