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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 60% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $211K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Winner48%
Map 2 Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Match Winner46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)40%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)39%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)38%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)38%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)36%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)28%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)24%

Market context

Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha — current market-implied probability: 62%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere … on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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