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Pronóstico: Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) 100% Volume: $263K Liquidity: $483K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Match Winner22%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: pcific esports vs gentle mates (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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