Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs Team Vitality (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs Team Vitality (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: team vitality vs bbl esports (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and BBL Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 19 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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