Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 64% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 Winner | 63% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson | 27% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: mubadala citi dc open: elisabetta cocciaretto vs clara tauson. This market refers to the tennis match between Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Clara Tauson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Coccia… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →