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Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.5 75% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 75% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $387K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.575%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.575%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 Winner63%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.538%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson27%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.55%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: mubadala citi dc open: elisabetta cocciaretto vs clara tauson. This market refers to the tennis match between Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Clara Tauson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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