Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu. This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Costoulas and Ayla Aksu in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: So… on Polymarket Qué Es
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