Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: us open, qualification wta: lucie havlickova vs nao hibino. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Havlickova and Nao Hibino in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlic… on Polymarket Qué Es
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